Commentary

2022 - Weak States and Loose Arms: Lessons and Warnings, from Afghanistan to Ukraine

Venue: War on the Rocks

URL: https://warontherocks.com/2022/07/weak-states-and-loose-arms-lessons-and-warnings-from-libya-to-ukraine/

Coauthor: Ori Swed

Abstract: In 1991, the USSR collapsed and billions of dollars of military equipment was black-marketed. In 2011, Libya crumbled and small arms and lights weapons (SALW) were sold as far as Syria. In both cases, illicit SALW trafficking generated and augmented violence in the surrounding regions. We describe this process, then speculate on the implications of Afghanistan’s collapse and the Russo-Ukrainian War before concluding with some prescriptions.

2020 - An Allegory of the Cave: Innovation and Terrorist Drones

Venue: War Room

URL: https://warroom.armywarcollege.edu/articles/terrorist-drones/

Coauthor: Ori Swed

Abstract: The surging commercial UAV industry has granted terrorists sudden and broad access to affordable, yet effective airpower. As a result, the offense-defense dialectic risks tilting in their tactical favor. Consumer UAVs are inexpensive, user-friendly, and sufficient for terrorists’ tasks. Furthermore, the commercial drone industry is delivering more functionality and autonomy as it hustles to meet consumer demand in multiple industries. Framing this dynamic in Plato’s Allegory of the Cave, we urge greater attention to the breadth and depth of terrorist drone use for prudent response.